10.12.2016

Economic Change is Happening Yesterday

Data lag is a big problem.

Right now we have the following occurring:

1) Unemployment ticked up
2) Corporate profits continue to decline
3) Job postings are down
4) WIRP is down
5) The Gold Put/Call Ratio is down
6) The SPY Put/Call Ratio is up
7) Class 8 truck sales looks like 2009

And all of this is on a data lag because it takes a few weeks to gather the data.  Then it takes a few weeks to write and publish the report.

That means that as of yesterday when I put that list together, we are even farther down this road than the data shows.  Plus I noticed most of this stuff in July so we're talking a major data lag.  By the time the data catches up it will be too late.

And a little FYI, the media sentiment lags the data lag by a few months so don't wait for them to report what's happening now.  They'll be late by a few months and call it breaking news.